North Atlantic Oscillation

Predictability

Spatial pattern of 1st CCA of May SST (shaded) and next DJFM Z500 (contour)

NCEP/NCAR

Data Analysis

Climate variability

• Air-sea interaction
  • Large scale
  • Upwelling
  • Sea ice
• Air-land interaction
  • Snow
• Local responses

Climate predictability

• Linear model

• Analog technique

References:

Rodwell, M. J., D. P. Rowell, and C. K. Folland, 1999: Oceanic forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic oscillation and European climate. Nature, 398, 320-323.

Bojariu, R., L.Gimeno, 2003: Predictability and numerical modelling of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Earth Science Reviews, Vol 63/1-2, 145-168.

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